➤ Key Highlights
Trailing-28-day national RevPAR rose 4.9%; May was up 4.0%.
The 2026 RevPAR forecast sits near 3.0%, led by luxury and upscale.
JLL expects a robust increase in global hotel investment in 2026.
Transactions above $250M are projected to rise significantly this year.
Host sold two Four Seasons resorts for $1.1B, bought in 2021–22 for $925M.
➤ The Signal
Hotel liquidity is returning after two thin transaction years.
The buyer pool is wider than 2023–24 but more disciplined than 2021.
Trophy gains are being harvested while value-add capital re-engages.
Hotels were the hardest CRE sector to transact through the rate shock — bid-ask gaps froze large deals. The mid-2026 data says that window is reopening: RevPAR is grinding higher, and the big-ticket trades that vanished are forecast to return.
The Host sale is the template. A public REIT harvesting a $175M gain on two trophy resorts shows pricing has recovered enough for sellers to move quality without capitulating. That clears comps for everyone behind them.
The discipline matters as much as the thaw. This is not 2021’s everything-bid. Buyers are selective, leaning luxury and upscale where rate growth is durable, and underwriting to operations rather than momentum.
➤ Implications
Expect more $250M-plus trades and sharper bifurcation between resilient luxury/upscale and pressured select-service in soft markets. Operations — not cap-rate compression — drive returns from here.
➤ Key Takeaway
The hotel market isn’t booming; it’s transacting again — and that’s the bigger deal after two frozen years.
Source: STR / CoStar / JLL / Host Hotels — June 2026
